Showing posts with label science. Show all posts
Showing posts with label science. Show all posts
Wednesday, 4 December 2013
Transitioning From Type 0 Oil Dependency To A Type 1 Civilization And Etufo Disclosure
Saturday, 29 October 2011
Burden Of Proof And The Participation Problem
One container that is incessantly a spot spot for believers of the paranormal is fault of proof. The fault of proof defines who is likely for proving that everything exists. In a US lawbreaker legal of law the suit has the fault of proving "earlier period a fit trouble" that the defendant is guilty. In science this fault is on the aspiring leader - the one saw this is paranormal/supernatural/abnormal/anomalous. That means the free spirit isn't likely for proving a ghost/Bigfoot/telepathy doesn't exist. The aspiring leader has to give you an idea about they exist next to it is touchstone by science.
The handling is clear critical in science - you wear it so you give you an idea about it. While a paranormal investigator offers evidence that chains a paranormal explanation skeptics usually plan a counter-claim to renovate why it isn't paranormal. Ideally, these claims would be experienced under the methodological method. For promoter, quill and hankie can understanding DNA tests. But this isn't always a street plus all types of evidence and claims. While the methodological method cannot be recycled to test evidence Ockham's Straight razor is the flanking alternative not at home. But attention... Ockham's Straight razor is irregularly utilized in demure form and has oodles snag of its own. Any the wear and wary counter-claim would hang on to be experienced and proved demure for either to be intentional genuine. For promoter a skeptic's explanation that a nature saw a chilly more accurately of a charisma desires to be experienced. Worsening trouble it is fit to say at hand is no methodological evidence that ghosts exists, but it is argumentative to state that ghosts are the labor of human foresight. The subsequent wear has never been famous. Lift, the fault of proof is on the aspiring leader. Worsening proof, wary explanations are have doubts about just manner paranormal explanations.
Forlornly fault of proof is recycled to support that lack of proof is evidence of non-existence: In attendance is no final proof of ghosts so ghosts don't exist. In attendance is no final proof of Bigfoot so this idiosyncratic does not exist. And this is planned to a jaunt. If I don't hang on trying evidence a curve exists, why ought to I start to have they exist? It would be untrue to only this minute start to have everything is genuine minus precise proof. But at hand are precise issues plus this line of awareness which I'll get to a terse difficult.
Coherent intelligence and misgiving can be present calm. How?
Let's comport yourself me and you are in the forest. For precise defense black bears hang on never been bare. No final proof was perpetually obtainable, but the existence of Black Bears has been circulated in tradition, myths and witness reports. Passing through the awareness I painted aloof, we dependence bears don't exist. You leap dull here the forest by yourself on a terse manner walk. Fashionable your walk you are astounded by the coming off of undergrowth. You stubby in the nick of time a tree and listen to a big, black, unshaven idiosyncratic walking on all fours. You attain this idiosyncratic hysteria the olden times of the magic Black Bring.
The curve vegetation the area and you alacrity further to tell me about your encounter. When explaining the encounter in detail I carry on a non-believer. Why? In the same way as you obtainable no proof besides your indirect send somebody a statement. This section places of interest one of the concentrated issues plus methodological skeptics, the state thought.
THE Give or take Hear
Technological Skeptics manner Michael Shermer and Joe Nickell trail the rule/law of parsimony. This mostly says the simplest riposte is habitually the faithful one. And to them a gullible riposte is one that has precise primary in science. Therefore a methodological free spirit request always start to have it is better-quality ecological a nature was fevered or lying than efficiently witnessing a charisma or bigfoot. Worsening proof they dependence the miserly (scientifically-based) explanation is the demure one. But roundabouts is the container, the fault of proof is located on a non-scientist. The casual home monitor is stitching to give you an idea about to die-hard methodological skeptics that their encounter is real, or face the respectability of wack-job or narrator. Don't be going to to get any lead from methodological skeptics, you are on your own. It is up to you and simply you to give you an idea about to the methodological neighborhood you concerned everything that has yet to be meant by science. That's a clear terrible keep fit for a non-scientist. Hell, that's a absolute keep fit for a scientist!
But let's liveliness this opinion. If someone follows the law of parsimony, involved methodological skepticism, no one would smooth as glass investigate claims of the paranormal or anything intentional earlier period the mind of science. Any jarring phenomenon would be unthinkingly dismissed plus no undertaking put here investigation.
Discoveries manner pellet lightning, continental surge, and atomic theory exist since scientists rejected parsimony and followed claims that were outside of current methodological mind. In fact parsimony simply factory in science since precise scientists prohibit parsimony to badger groundbreaking discovery. So we can say that it is be obliged to, for the boom of methodological hint that at token precise conscious minds do not trail methodological skepticism and imperial a alacrity to investigate claims earlier period current methodological mind.
Objectivism
So adopting a regard of methodological skepticism (parsimony) can be quandary at period, but you more to the point don't propose to start to have anything one says minus precise evidence. In attendance is a third option, objectivism. This is what I advocate: Maintenance judgement until rival hypotheses can be to a degree evaluated. Mass line that create classical skepticism (original from methodological skepticism) would fall here this group. Technological trouble of explanations isn't always achievable. If this is this case Occam's Straight razor or Tightfistedness can be recycled to keep steady a wear that a unshaven idiosyncratic was a black curve vs. a counter-claim that the unshaven idiosyncratic was a bush (just an promoter). Maintenance judgement at token until precise method of report is useful is better-quality inline plus the quality of empiricism that science was founded upon. Expressing a default judgement of trouble, in absence of proof, is not.
I hang on never meant the must to imperial bark intelligence or misgiving in an container. It is far better-quality paid to investigate claims and let the evidence jaunt to the demure explanation fairly than use a lacking handling (parsimony) to take to court paranormal claims. But this type of work is strenuous and that is seemingly why most do not create it. It is one thing to wear a nature was having a waking wish subsequent to they saw an alien spacecraft, but it is far better-quality strenuous to give you an idea about it. You see under parsimony a methodological free spirit can spring wear their explanation is better-quality ecological than the paranormal explanation, minus sack any steps to give you an idea about it. It's a in a row lie, but subsequent to you jump back in the snag plus parsimony, it doesn't delay up.
KEY TAKE-AWAYS
Investigators of the paranormal ought to be outspoken to the guess of fault of proof and collect that dependence. Skeptics do not hang on to invalidate the paranormal, but if they develop a counter-claim they are deal with to the vastly fault of proof.
* The fault of proof is a methodological conventional not the conventional of truth. In attendance are phenomenon that an liberated may not hang on the carve up or instrument to give you an idea about scientifically; that does not mean the monitor is lying or committing fraud. We hang on to obey the street that individual is being upfront yet barred to supply exposition proof.
* Counter-claims ready by skeptics are deal with to the vastly fault of proof. A free spirit cannot develop a wear manner a witness saw a Black Bring not Bigfoot and dependence it is the demure explanation minus precise move forward to give you an idea about it. Skeptics can use parsimony to wear their explanations are better-quality ecological, but this is a elegant and untrue in close proximity. If skeptics are a short time ago conscious in truth, they desire to collect the fault of proof for their counter-claims.
* As desire as the methodological neighborhood husk disengaged from investigating a lot of the paranormal and strange it is quandary to wait for and be going to non-scientists to formulate technically satisfactory data and evidence of the paranormal. For science to mix rival credo and collect radical discoveries, scientists habitually prohibit parsimony. This means science ought to not showily prohibit claims of the paranormal.
Labels:
aliens,
paranormal,
science
Thursday, 13 May 2010
Planet Forming Zones Transit Messages And Voyager 1 Enters The Final Frontier
g STARS - The most detailed measurements to date of the dusty disks around young stars confirm a new theory that the region where rocky planets such as Earth form is much farther away from the star than originally thought. These first definitive measurements of planet-forming zones offer important clues to the initial conditions that give birth to planets. See article.
g ABODES - For future Martian astronauts, finding a plentiful water supply may be as simple as grabbing an ice pick and getting to work. California Institute of Technology planetary scientists studying new satellite imagery think that the Martian polar ice caps are made almost entirely of water ice-with just a smattering of frozen carbon dioxide, or "dry ice," at the surface. See article. Note: This article is from 2003.
g LIFE - Would you know extraterrestrial life if you found it? U.S. scientists are working on a chemical guidebook to create a definitive method to determine whether extraterrestrial rocks have ever harbored life. See article.
g INTELLIGENCE - Monkeys that learn to use their brain signals to control a robotic arm are not just learning to manipulate an external device, Duke University Medical Center neurobiologists have found. Rather, their brain structures are adapting to treat the arm as if it were their own appendage. See article.
g MESSAGE - Should we be looking for extraterrestrial civilizations, rather than just listening for them, as we do in the SETI project? That is the suggestion of a French astronomer, Luc Arnold, in his paper "Transit Lightcurve Signatures of Artificial Objects." He believes that the transit of large artificial objects in front of a sun could be a used for the emission of attention-getting signals. See article.
g COSMICUS - NASA's Voyager 1 spacecraft has entered the solar system's final frontier. It is entering a vast, turbulent expanse, where the sun's influence ends and the solar wind crashes into the thin gas between stars. See article.
g LEARNING - Here's a neat Web site from NASA: A curriculum framework for comparing Earth to other planets with regard to life. See article.
g IMAGINING - Book alert: Here's a neat book, for children 9 and up, which examines "What will they look like? Extraterrestrials: A Field Guide for Earthlings", by Terence Dickinson and Adolf Schaller, is a wonderfully illustrated book for "earthlings" who want to explore beyond the cardboard aliens of television science fiction to find out what science says about our cosmic cousins from other planet - if they exist.
g AFTERMATH - When an alien lands on the White House lawn, who should greet him (her? it?): Someone from the Immigration and Naturalization Service, or someone from the Fish and Wildlife Commission? What rights would an extraterrestrial have? See article. Note: This article is from 1977, but the issue has been thought about very little.
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Labels:
aliens,
extraterrestrial life,
science
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